Sunday, June 29, 2014

G5 MINUTE: CONFERENCE USA FACES ITS MOST DIFFICULT CHALLENGE TO DATE ON JULY 1





G5 Blog Original Content


There have been very few College Sports Conferences that have been  hit harder than Conference USA during the last two years of the often chaotic world of collegiate conference realignment.  On July 1st Conference USA,  which  losses ECU, TULANE and TULSA to the AAC and gains WKU from the Sun Belt ,ends their  latest and most dramatic phase of conference realignment.   July 1st also marks the beginning of a long road of rebuilding and rebranding for Conference USA. Rebuilding and rebranding for a conference that has seen the majority of its best programs leave  and join the AAC.

In a few short days ECU, TULANE and TULSA will join former Conference USA mates UCF, MEMPHIS, HOUSTON AND SMU in the  American Athletic Conference. Conference USA commissioner, Britton Banowsky, in order to replace these departing schools, turned to North Texas, ODU,MTSU, LA TECH, FIU, FAU, UTSA, UNC-CHARLOTTE and WKU. Half  of these programs come  from the Sun Belt Conference, while the other half come from new FBS start up programs or the WAC Conference. None of the replacement schools however, bring the name recognition ,winning tradition or brand power that the majority of the schools who are leaving Conference USA do.

Herein lies the real challenge for Britton Banowsky and Conference USA going forward. To take this new group of schools, including their lower profiles and somehow recapture the solid reputation Conference  USA has enjoyed in the past. There is little doubt that schools like Marshall , Southern Miss, UTEP ,RICE and UAB, will need to play a greater role in the rebranding of Conference USA if the conference is going  to remain relevant in College Sports.

Fortunately for the conference, MARSHALL seems poised to have a ground breaking year in football this season. The Thundering Herd will be lead by the  Heisman worthy QB Rakeem Cato. Apart from Marshall however, Conference USA football looks to be void of any news making programs, or teams that have the potential to make noise on ESPN this Fall.

Conference USA also faces an uncertain future in College Basketball. This year the conference was a one bid league with little on the horizon to indicate this might change over the next few years. WKU's entry into Conference USA is a plus, but until UAB among others gets it mojo back, Conference USA will encounter the worst of all battles in sports, the battle of perception. Right now Conference USA is losing the perception war, something Banowsky will need to counter if he wants his league to go beyond the one team stigma.

It is easy to forget that Conference USA was once home to outstanding College programs like Louisville, TCU and Cincinnati to name a few.  In fact the conference has an excellent history of sending its members on to bigger and better things. There are questions  , however,  if the new teams that have been brought into Conference USA  have growth capacity to transcend the confines of the conference like past Conference USA schools have. It is likely to early in the process of the new Conference USA to know the answer to this question.

One also has to wonder if Conference USA made a mistake this time around in going after markets instead of winning programs. Not inviting schools from the Sun Belt like UL and Ark State and passing them by  for newly formed programs like UNC-Charlotte appear to some to be short sighted and purely market driven. Will the Networks who will be providing Conference USA with its next tv contract be  more interested in markets or winning programs? Markets seem to matter very little for most G5 schools, as most G5 schools are not good for tv ratings.

One of the greatest challenge for Conference USA going forward  will be for the conference to prove that it can compete consistently on a regional and sometimes national level. The new schools in Conference USA will need to prove to recruits , fans and critics alike that the latest incarnation of the conference can stand the test of time just as it has in the past.  Conference USA has  consistently been one  the best mid major conferences in College Sports. At this point in its history though, Conference USA is essentially starting over with only Southern Miss and a few other schools serving as witness to the better days of the conference.

On July 1st Conference USA begins a new sports life. Can, however,  the latest group of schools match the past history of Conference USA? With strong competition coming from the maturing Sun Belt and MAC conferences as well as the G5 leaders   Mountain West and AAC , the future for Conference USA is unclear. The next few years will be crucial to the conference as it tries to differentiate itself from the rest of the G5 competition. Commissioner Britton Banowsky's greatest challenge as the commissioner  of Conference USA is about to begin. July 1st marks the start of that challenge for both Banowsky and the teams that will make up the new Conference USA. Stay tuned to see how it unfolds.




PHIL STEELE RANKS AAC BEST G5 CONFERENCE, SUN BELT LAST. COMPARE OUR 3RD PLACE SUN BELT RANKING TO STEELE'S


Original G5 Blog Material

Phil Steele, the College Football prediction guru, has released his College Football Conference rankings list. Steele lists the G5 conferences in the following order:

1. AAC
2. MWC
3. MAC
4. CONFERENCE USA
5. SUN BELT

Steele's rankings and the G5 Blog rankings are similar only in the first two spots where we both have the AAC and MWC in the 1 and 2 positions.  Here are the G5 Blog Conference rankings from  two months ago.

1. AAC
2. MWC
3. SUN BELT
4. MAC
5. CONFERENCE USA
( For a more in depth explanation of these rankings click here: G5 NEWS AND ISSUES CONFERENCE RANKINGS


Some disagreed with the G5 Blog and its number 3 ranking of the the Sun Belt .  Here is what I wrote about the Sun Belt and its number 3 spot in our list:

3. SUN BELT CONFERENCE : This might come as a surprise to some people, but not to those who follow the Belt closely.  The Sunbelt has earned its number 3 rating because of strong football and strong football schools that have been added since realignment. App State and Ga Southern were excellent  picks for the Sunbelt.  The Sunbelt has more pure football schools in it's conference than the MAC and Conf USA do. What the Sunbelt is missing however, is competitive basketball. Sunbelt basketball should be sued for gross negligence. If I were Commissioner  Karl Benson, I would hold an emergency meeting with the conference AD's to discuss the dismal state of Sunbelt basketball. On the other hand, football schools like Ark State, ULL and the new additions of the Sunbelt should keep this conference competitive for many years to come.


I am perplexed as to why Steele ranks the Sun Belt last among the G5 Conferences as his own statements and data seem to contradict his rating of the Belt.  Concerning the 2014 Sun Belt Steele writes:
"Last year the Sun Belt went 19-21 in nonconference action, which was the best mark in their history and a better overall record than the Mountain West, C-USA and MAC. "

These comments and data make it clear that the Sun Belt was more competitive than both the MAC and Conference USA last year. Not only did the Sun Belt have the best non conference record last year but one of the Belt's best teams,  UL , has beaten the likes of ECU, Tulane and San Diego State in the last 3 years. 

It's clear that the Sun Belt still has work to do in transforming its brand and image. The Belt  will need to continue to win key OOC games as well as games  against  other G5 schools  in order to make believers out of doubters. The good news for Sun Belt fans is that it's leadership has chosen wisely in bringing in football centric schools like App State and Ga Southern to replace the programs that left for Conference USA.

We will revisit our own G5 Conference rankings and Steel's rankings at the end of the season and grade each one in accordance with how close or far away each of us has been. Stay tuned.

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

AAC COMMISSIONER MIKE ARESCO TRAVELS TO GREENVILLE, NC TO WELCOME ECU TO THE AAC


AAC Commissioner was in Greenville ,NC today( Tuesday June 24th) to officially welcome the Pirates to the AAC. Click here for the Full Story.

CONFERENCE USA COMMISSIONER BRITTON BANOWSKY TESTIFIES AT O'BANNON TRAIL

BANOWSKY TESTIFIES AT O'BANNON TRAIL(link)


Former UCLA basketball player and professional athlete Ed O'Bannon is suing the NCAA for antitrust practices. O'Bannon believes that he and other NCAA athletes are due compensation from the NCAA for the use of likeness on everything from live broadcasts to team calendars.

Conference USA commissioner Britton Banowsky has been on the stand testifying about issues of profit and school financial burdens at the O'Bannon trail.  One of the more interesting aspects of Banowsky's testimony however, seems to indicate that Conference USA schools have decided to pay the so called cost of attendance fees being promised by the P5 conferences. Stay tuned

Saturday, June 21, 2014

G5 NEWS AND ISSUES PRESEASON PICK : EAST CAROLINA PIRATES WILL BE AAC CHAMPS





G5 News and Issue original content:
Look for more G5 Conference predictions 
in the weeks to come.


The East Carolina Pirates have an SEC spirit trapped in a G5 body. No other G5 school can boast the same game day atmosphere, fan support and culture that ECU has created over the past 3 decades of collegiate play. Why the Big East snubbed them a decade ago during realignment  remains not only a mystery but one of the great blunders of that now faded conference. But I digress, this is not about the past mistakes of the Big East, this is about the future and ECU's new role in the AAC. A role that should allow ECU to become one of the most dominant players in the conference going forward. A role that also places ECU in the best position to win  the AAC in their inaugural  year of conference play.

The AAC is the top G5 conference at the moment.  Anyone who follows the conference knows that there are many talented football programs in the AAC.  Many of these teams, however, have too many question marks at too positions to be tapped as preseason favorites to win the conference. Cincinnati for example, has too many complicated QB Issues.  UCF also has QB issues as well as  winners fatigue.  The Houston Cougars  have  broken way to many hearts over the years by failing to live up to their  full potential to be counted on as preseason favorites. Schools like UConn,  Tulane, USF, Memphis and Temple do not have the players nor the fire power to be considered Championship threats this year.

All of these issues, plus the fact that ECU is loaded for some serious ball this fall,  makes the Pirates the  best  preseason pick to win the AAC. The ECU rose however, is not without its thorns. The Pirates have a brutal OOC schedule and will need for its young OL to bond and gel quickly in order for the season to be successful. What ECU does have in its corner,  are some of the best offensive weapons in the conference, including one of the best QB's in the country, Shane Carden.

Carden will have his pick of talented WR's to throw to this fall including the future  NFL bound Justin Hardy. On the defensive side of the ball, second year Defensive Coordinator Rick Smith has one of the best front seven groups in ECU history.( For a more in depth look at the Pirate Football team click here :ECU fall preview)

ECU also lays claim to the  ubber charismatic, hard working , players coach in Ruffin McNeill. The Pirate program, after 5 yrs under his leadership, is now fully McNeill's.  McNeill has installed a never say die attitude among his players,  punctuated by his now famous,  "want some get some", speech from a few years ago. Don't be surprised if  McNeill and the ECU Pirates beat the South Carolina Gamecocks this year, clearly the most difficult  team on their schedule this fall.

ECU has yet to achieve  its most important goal as a program, to play in a P5 conference. The AAC, however, is fast becoming a very competitive league in its own right. Mike Aresco, by inviting the Pirates, strengthened not only the AAC but ECU as well. The Pirates will field a very talented and dangerous team this year. McNeill through good recruiting and with the assistance of one of the best walk on programs in the country, has assembled the best ECU team in years. ECU should be the top AAC football team  this year. Win or lose however, Mike Aresco already looks like a  very smart commissioner for inviting the Pirates to the conference. Stay tuned.


G5 CONFERENCE NEWS AND ISSUE:
AAC PREDICATED FINISH

1. ECU
2. UCF
3. CINCINNATI
4. HOUSTON
5. TULANE
6. TEMPLE
7. SMU
8. USF
9. MEMPHIS
10.TULSA
11. UCONN


Note: The best thing to do when you make a mistake is own up to it. Not only was SMU left out of the original countdown  TULSA was as well. Definitely my mistake and a rookie one at that. Still does not change my top 6 and 1st pick overall, but a bad mistake anyway you look at it. Thanks to those who brought this to my attention. I rushed to finish the article and have paid for it. I transferred the draft copy to the page and did not look at it again until it was to late. My apologies to my regular blog readers and to SMU and TULSA fans. I definitely know that you are in the AAC.